Research guide covering the 2012 presidential and congressional news, campaigns, predictions and election outcomes.
Last Updated: May 8, 2013
Features trends and analysis regarding public opinion on American government and politicians.
American Research Group
Has public opinion of the Republican and Democratic candidates by state, includes the questions asked, and the research methodology used to design the poll.
270 to Win
Focuses on the movement of the electoral votes, particularly the 270 votes needed to win the majority of the electoral votes (out of 538 total).
Sabato's Crystal Ball
Larry Sabato is a professor at UVa and this website focuses on the current aspects of the presidential campaign, including the current Electoral College coverage and in-depth analysis.
The Cook Political Report
Provides analysis and predictions of the likely outcome of elections.
"Bread & Peace" Model
Interview of the retired economics professor Douglas Hibbs, who has developed this model. The interview includes a link to the equation used in the model and his predictions of the upcoming presidential election based on that model
"'13 Keys' to the White House" Model
Interview of the history professor Allan Lichtman, who developed the "Keys to the White House" model. The interview provides specifics on a few keys. More information on this model is available at: http://tinyurl.com/2aks8uw. (The library also has his book "Keys to the White House".)
Non-profit, non-partisan resources tracking campaign donations & lobbying in the US:
Tracks the money in politics and its effect on elections and public policy.
Follows the connection between campaign donations and legislative votes.
Tracks the lack of transparency regarding campaign donations and lobbying influence through investigational reporting and research.
National Institute on Money in State Politics
Organization tracks political donations in all 50 states, providing reports and graphics showing trends within, and across, states.
Monitors claims made in campaign speeches, ads, debates, interviews, and news releases to ensure accuracy. A trusted non-partisan organization funded through the Annenburg Foundation.
Rates accuracy of candidates' statements on their records, attacks on opponents, and organizes statements by issue/topic. Developed by St. Petersburg Times & CQ.com.