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Research guide covering the 2012 presidential and congressional news, campaigns, predictions and election outcomes.
Last Updated: May 8, 2013 URL: http://libguides.richmond.edu/Election2012 Print Guide

Election Analysis Print Page
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Presidential Candidate Information

  • barackobama.com
    Website for incumbent Democratic candidate Barack Hussein Obama.
  • mittromney.com
    Website for presumptive Republican candidate Willard Mitt Romney.

Public Opinion of Candidates

  • Pollster.com
    Features trends and analysis regarding public opinion on American government and politicians.
  • American Research Group
    Has public opinion of the Republican and Democratic candidates by state, includes the questions asked, and the research methodology used to design the poll.

Election Predictions

  • 270 to Win
    Focuses on the movement of the electoral votes, particularly the 270 votes needed to win the majority of the electoral votes (out of 538 total).
  • Sabato's Crystal Ball
    Larry Sabato is a professor at UVa and this website focuses on the current aspects of the presidential campaign, including the current Electoral College coverage and in-depth analysis.
  • The Cook Political Report
    Provides analysis and predictions of the likely outcome of elections.
  • "Bread & Peace" Model
    Interview of the retired economics professor Douglas Hibbs, who has developed this model. The interview includes a link to the equation used in the model and his predictions of the upcoming presidential election based on that model
  • "'13 Keys' to the White House" Model
    Interview of the history professor Allan Lichtman, who developed the "Keys to the White House" model. The interview provides specifics on a few keys. More information on this model is available at: http://tinyurl.com/2aks8uw. (The library also has his book "Keys to the White House".)

Electoral College

Election 2012 News Sources

Campaign Speeches & Advertisements

Presidential & VP Debates

Historical Election Information

Election Media Analysis

Money & Politics

Non-profit, non-partisan resources tracking campaign donations & lobbying in the US:

  • OpenSecrets.org  
      
    Tracks the money in politics and its effect on elections and public policy.
  • MapLight.org  
      
    Follows the connection between campaign donations and legislative votes.
  • Sunlight Foundation
    Tracks the lack of transparency regarding campaign donations and lobbying influence through investigational reporting and research.
  • National Institute on Money in State Politics
    Organization tracks political donations in all 50 states, providing reports and graphics showing trends within, and across, states.

Fact Checking Resources

  • FactCheck.org
    Monitors claims made in campaign speeches, ads, debates, interviews, and news releases to ensure accuracy. A trusted non-partisan organization funded through the Annenburg Foundation.
  • PolitiFact
    Rates accuracy of candidates' statements on their records, attacks on opponents, and organizes statements by issue/topic. Developed by St. Petersburg Times & CQ.com.
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